Thursday, April 12, 2007

CND - New housing price index for February

The New Housing Price Index increase of 0.5% in February.
  • 10 out of 21 metropolitan areas have saw the NHPI jump

The location where the increase was the biggest is Regina

Official press release

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US - Export Price Index in March

With a growth of 0.7% in March, export prices increase for a second month in a row.

  • Agricultural and nonagricultural goods are contributing equally

For March, nonagriculturals prices are mainly driven by industrial product and material

Official press release

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US - Imports price index for March

Import price jumped 1.7% in March after a small increase of 0.6% in February
  • Mainly form a big leap of 9% in petrolum product

Excluding oil, it's a increase of 0.3%. Overall it's the biggest hike since Mai 2006

Official press release

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US - Initial Claims for the week ending April 7th

In the week ending April 7th, seasonnaly adjusted claims are up 19,000 to 342,000 form a revised 323,000.
  • The 4 week moving average is up 7,000 from the previous week

For next releases, it will be important to take a close look at this figure because claims can skyrocket fast and if they continue to climb, the employment may fall sharply sooner that later.

Official press release

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Wednesday, April 11, 2007

US - FOMC minutes of March 21st

The FOMC is still concerned by inflation risk and expect growth to slow in 2007.
  • Inflation is still at an uncomfortable level for the committee
  • Further decisions about FedFunds will be function of economic growth and inflation

Here is the FOMC expressing concern about inflation:

“In these circumstances, the Committee’s predominant policy concern remains
the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected. Future policy
adjustments will depend on the evolution of the outlook for both inflation
and economic growth, as implied by incoming information.”
It will be important to take a close look at numbers coming until the next meeting because a surge in oil price is likely to maintain inflation high. If the FOMC feel that household and professionals forecasters expect inflation to remain high they may increase FedFunds target in August against all expectations.

Official press release

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CND - Housing start in March

Canadian housing starts rose 210,900 on an annual basis from a 196,000 increase in February.
  • This number is higher than expected
  • Mainly form a increase in multi-family starts

The CMHC and the BoC expect construction to slowdown this year to 209,500 units. It's western canadian provinces that account for a major part of the growth.

Official Press release

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Friday, April 6, 2007

US - Wholesales Trades in February

Wholesales remain resilient as durable goods decline.
  • Wholesales were up 1.2% in February form a revised 0.1% in January.
  • Inventories hike a half percent.
  • Durable goods are down 0.8% mainly from construction material.
Excluding petroleum, sales growth 0.4% as this report is not corrected for price. As durable goods are a leading indicator of consumption behavior, one can expect a slowdown in wholesales in the next few month.

Official press release

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